BTC continues to trade in a narrow range, and memecoins steal the limelight from NFTs as views on the macroeconomic outlook diverge.
Research
After a turbulent month for the crypto industry in March, Bitcoin’s (BTC) price went sideways in April despite some volatility. The meteoric rise of memecoins, such as PEPE, made headlines, and First Republic, another mid-sized United States bank, went under. However, on the basis of current market sentiment is a standoff between markets and policymakers: While the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Jerome Powell publicly states that interest rates are unlikely to come down this year, the markets for risk-on assets like crypto have firmly priced in a pivot in the coming months.
In times like these, it is wise to drill deeper into the fundamentals that will shape future market movements. With an uncertain macro environment and a looming regulatory crackdown in the U.S., there are other notable developments that are easily drowned out by these dominant news items.
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NFT hype fades as memecoins take over
Nonfungible token (NFT) collectibles are one of the few sectors that took a major hit this month. Memecoins, such as PEPE, may be partially responsible for this, as they absorbed the attention, printing eye-watering gains. BRC-20 tokens, a new abstraction created on the Bitcoin Ordinals protocol, may also compete for cash inflow from traditional NFT collectibles traders. Sellers have started to persistently outnumber buyers on NFT marketplaces recently, and this trend is likely to continue.
There are concerns about the NFT market going into free fall, as all important metrics, such as volume and active wallets, have been on a steep decline. NonFungible reported only 49,200 active wallets and a sales volume of $80,500 this month. The NFT marketplace wars, combined with diminishing excitement around NFTs, are other driving factors behind this long-term development.
Despite the overall NFT market slump, a niche NFT sector that is picking up steam is the NFT lending market. Since the start of 2022, this sector has witnessed double-digit growth every month, and this continued in April with a 16.13% increase in new users.
Mining stocks outperform BTC
Every Cointelegraph Research Monthly Trends Report includes coverage of mining economics and crypto stocks. For investors interested in increasing their exposure to BTC, mining stocks have historically been a popular option. While idiosyncratic factors have negatively impacted individual stocks this month, the sector as a whole seems to have exited from the 2022 bear market.
The highest returns were again recorded by TeraWulf, which continued its rally with another 85% rise in evaluation. CleanSpark, IrisEnergy and BitDigital were other strong gainers. Notably, the stocks in April outperformed BTC on aggregate after lagging behind in the previous month. Where Bitcoin only posted a 2.8% close, the largest crypto stocks, dominated by mining, recorded 12.9%
Of course, increased evaluations in the mining industry are highly sensitive to BTC’s price action. For those with confidence in improving macroeconomic conditions for risk-on assets, these stocks may offer good entries as they were previously battered by the bear market. The stocks section of the monthly report tracks the fundamentals of major companies in the industry and thus amends our regular analysis of Bitcoin mining economics.
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